3rd May 2021

May marks the cessation of the “Long Rains” season over several parts of the country except for the Coastal region and Western Kenya. The outlook for May 2021 indicates that several parts of the Lake Victoria Basin region and Western Kenya; Central & Southern Rift Valley; Central Kenya including Nairobi and North Western Kenya are likely to experience slightly enhanced rainfall. Counties in the South-eastern and North-eastern are likely to receive near-average rainfall. Counties in the Coastal region are likely to experience below-average rainfall. The distribution is likely to be poor in the Northwest, Northeast, Southeast as well as Coastal region.

The forecast indicates that several parts of the Lake Victoria Basin, Highlands West of the Rift Valley and Central Kenya including Nairobi; Counties in North-Western Kenya; and Southern and Central Rift Valley are likely to experience near average rainfall with a slight tendency to above normal rainfall (slightly enhanced rainfall). Counties in the South-eastern and Northeastern are likely to receive near average rainfall. Counties in the coastal region are likely to experience below normal rainfall. The distribution is expected to be poor in these regions.

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